Inglaterra U21 vs Suecia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SRB
0 - 1
ENG
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
SRB
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
AZE
0 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Suecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 3
ITA
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 1
UKR
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 1
SWE
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |