India vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 0
TWN
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
PHL
1 - 1
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
AFG
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
IND
0 - 3
YEM
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
JPN
6 - 0
IND
91%
8%
2%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BRN
2 - 1
NPL
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |