Independente SE vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AMP
3 - 0
INS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
BOQ
0 - 2
INS
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
INS
2 - 2
AMA
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AMP
2 - 3
INS
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
REC
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
CDC
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
GUA
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
6 - 0
COR
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FJA
1 - 2
GUA
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
ECP
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |