Independiente II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
IND
3 - 3
GLP
37%
25%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 0
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
NOB
4 - 0
IND
52%
24%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
ACC
0 - 1
VEL
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 2
PLA
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
TIG
1 - 0
VEL
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
CAU
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |