Independiente II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
BAN
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ALD
2 - 1
IND
16%
23%
61%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GOC
0 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
CAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
SLO
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NOB
3 - 2
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 0
ROC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 2
RIV
18%
24%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |