Independiente HP vs Def. Fraile Pintado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente HP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
IHP
1 - 0
TAB
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
IHP
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
IHP
3 - 0
RGR
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
APE
3 - 2
IHP
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IHP
1 - 2
MIT
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
SFB
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
RGR
2 - 4
FRA
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
APE
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
TIR
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |