Independiente Fontana vs CD Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
IND
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
SAR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FON
2 - 1
IND
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
SOL
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
CSC
87%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |