Independiente FBC vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 3
CCP
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |