Independiente FBC vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
IND
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
CER
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 3
EME
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |