Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
IND
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
LIB
1%
5%
94%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 3
LQE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |