Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
GEN
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 4
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
SPT
64%
22%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 0
LIB
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
RAC
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |