Independiente FBC vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
IND
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
RÑU
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RPA
2 - 0
IND
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
GUT
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 4
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
RÑU
0 - 0
FER
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
RPA
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
GUT
1 - 2
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |