Independiente FBC vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 1
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
RPA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SPT
2 - 1
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
IND
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
RPA
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
FER
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
12O
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |