Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
IND
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 1
IND
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 2
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 0
SMI
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 2
AMA
38%
30%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
ARA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |