Independiente Chorrera vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
SMI
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
RIO
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SMI
2 - 0
CHO
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |