Independiente Cauquenes vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GVE
4 - 2
CAU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 2
SAU
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
IBE
1 - 0
CAU
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
2 - 0
CAU
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
ACC
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACC
2 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
DER
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
CHG
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
3 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |