Independiente Chivilcoy vs Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EVE
0 - 1
IND
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
KIM
20%
27%
53%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
DCM
1 - 1
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
FER
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
FER
5 - 2
EVE
72%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
KIM
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
DCM
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |