Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
TAL
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
LIB
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
IND
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 2
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DFR
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
DFR
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
DFR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |