Independente AP vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
2 - 0
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 2
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
IAP
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
IAP
1 - 1
YAP
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
SPM
1 - 2
TDC
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
SPM
61%
20%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
YAP
0 - 1
SPM
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
SPM
3 - 3
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SPM
2 - 5
CRI
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |