Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
INC
0 - 0
GAN
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BUS
1 - 0
INC
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CDR
0 - 0
INC
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
INC
2 - 2
GYE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SUW
1 - 0
INC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DCI
1 - 0
ULS
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JEJ
3 - 3
DCI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SUW
4 - 0
DCI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DCI
1 - 0
GAN
48%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GYE
7 - 1
DCI
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |