Illzach Modenheim vs Schiltigheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 4
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 5
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LUN
3 - 3
ILL
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
BIE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Schiltigheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VAU
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 2
MEZ
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
SCH
37%
22%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MET
0 - 1
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 0
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |