FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ILL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
ZOR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
ILL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 0
MED
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VOR
1 - 0
ILL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SHA
3 - 0
VOR
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
RSO
0 - 2
SHA
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KPT
3 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DNI
3 - 1
SHA
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |