FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PSE
0 - 1
ILL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 1
HOV
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
SHA
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ILL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
ZOR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
7 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
MUD
13%
19%
69%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MED
2 - 2
SHA
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
SHA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SHA
3 - 0
VOR
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |