Junkeren vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
11º
11º
26
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 0
IKJ
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IKJ
1 - 1
GJO
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 0
IKJ
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
IKJ
0 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KVI
3 - 3
IKJ
36%
23%
41%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSK
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 6
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
4 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |