IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
IJS
2 - 3
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 2
IJS
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HHC
3 - 1
IJS
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 3
JOD
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IJS
2 - 1
NOO
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 1
JOD
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
RIJ
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
DET
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |