Flint vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
12º
11º
55
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
IFL
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
AIF
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 4
IFL
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
ULL
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FRI
2 - 0
ULL
73%
16%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
FRI
48%
21%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
OPP
64%
18%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FRI
0 - 3
KFU
12%
17%
70%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASK
6 - 1
FRI
21%
20%
59%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |