Ideal vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 0
IDE
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PIN
0 - 2
IDE
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 2
MOU
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AMO
2 - 1
IDE
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
IDE
3 - 0
1DE
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
OLE
0 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ANA
3 - 1
OLE
70%
19%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OLE
0 - 2
SIN
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
OLE
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 0
IRI
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |