Ideal vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BMA
4 - 0
IDE
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
FAT
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
IDE
55%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
RDA
31%
28%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLE
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
5 - 0
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -3 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
GDF
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 3
CON
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIZ
6 - 1
GDF
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |