Ideal vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
4 - 2
IDE
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
5 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
EVN
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 3
PIN
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOU
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +3 |