Icasa vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 0
ICA
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
2 - 1
FLO
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
ICA
15%
19%
65%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GPM
1 - 1
ICA
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |