Ibarra vs C.D. Z Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
LPA
4 - 2
UDI
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 0
SDT
32%
29%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
UDO
4 - 0
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
UDI
1 - 1
COR
18%
27%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LAN
0 - 0
UDI
67%
19%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Z Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GAL
7 - 0
CDZ
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
CDZ
0 - 0
LPA
14%
24%
62%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SDT
2 - 1
CDZ
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CDZ
0 - 2
UDO
16%
24%
60%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
COR
2 - 1
CDZ
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |