Ibach vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
12º
60
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
2 - 0
IBA
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
IBA
8 - 1
FCM
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
IBA
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
IBA
3 - 3
ROT
44%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 2
IBA
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
BUO
4 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
EMM
0 - 5
BUO
33%
21%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
BUO
2 - 0
GOL
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCE
1 - 8
BUO
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BUO
4 - 1
BRU
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |