Hwange vs Black Mambas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOU
1 - 1
HWA
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HWA
3 - 1
VIC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
KIG
2 - 3
HWA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HWA
0 - 1
MOT
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MOT
2 - 0
HWA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Black Mambas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BLA
1 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 0
BLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 0
HIG
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
DYN
2 - 1
BLA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GUN
0 - 0
BLA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |