HVCH vs Wittenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
16º
37
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
HVC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HVC
2 - 2
JUL
21%
20%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
0 - 0
HVC
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HVC
0 - 1
ORI
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
RKV
4 - 1
HVC
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wittenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WIT
0 - 2
ACH
24%
23%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIT
44%
20%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WIT
2 - 2
NEM
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NUE
5 - 0
WIT
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 1
SCK
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |