Hume City FC vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PLI
2 - 1
HUM
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 3
SOU
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
HUM
1 - 0
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
HUM
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 5
MCF
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
DAN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
DAN
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AVH
2 - 1
DAN
85%
10%
4%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |