Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
44
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUB
1 - 0
HDR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 2
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
HDR
34%
26%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 3
RUD
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
HDR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 0
KUS
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 1
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 0
NKD
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 2
BIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |