Lorca FC vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 1
LOR
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
LOR
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 1
REC
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
LOR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BET
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRA
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |