Lorca FC vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
LOR
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ROD
0 - 1
LOR
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
RJA
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BET
0 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
UCA
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 4
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
UCA
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 4
ROD
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RJA
1 - 2
UCA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |