Lorca FC vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MSM
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PUL
3 - 4
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCA
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |