Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
6º
62
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hougang United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 1
TAM
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 5
LCS
21%
20%
59%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 2
TAN
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 3
DPM
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CYL
2 - 1
HOU
6%
13%
80%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
DPM
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 2
ALB
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 6
ALB
5%
13%
82%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GEY
1 - 6
ALB
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |