Hostalric vs Palafrugell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hostalric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
HOS
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
HOS
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HOS
4 - 1
QUA
36%
23%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BAT
4 - 1
HOS
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HOS
2 - 2
LLO
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palafrugell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
4 - 0
TOR
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
SIL
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAL
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
42%
23%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 2
PAL
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |