Horsham vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COR
0 - 3
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
POT
0 - 1
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ENF
1 - 0
HOR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 2
FOL
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
WOR
5 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 2
WOR
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
HAR
85%
11%
5%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
WOR
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
POT
0 - 3
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |