WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 11-3
Hong Kong vs East Timor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TLS
2 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
15 - 1
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
1 - 1
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
East Timor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TLS
2 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
64%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
TLS
94%
5%
1%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
TLS
2 - 3
LKA
1%
10%
89%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |