Hong Kong vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
THA
2 - 0
HKG
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
HKG
0 - 2
KOR
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1997 |
HKG
1 - 3
YUG
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
3 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
2 - 3
KOR
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
THA
3 - 1
JPN
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
THA
2 - 0
HKG
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
THA
1 - 3
KOR
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
THA
1 - 1
JPN
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
IRQ
4 - 1
THA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |