Hong Kong vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
HKG
1 - 7
BRA
9%
20%
72%
|
56 | 98 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
MMR
2 - 2
HKG
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
SGP
0 - 0
HKG
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAS
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
MDV
12 - 0
MNG
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MNG
0 - 1
MDV
52%
21%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
MNG
0 - 0
BTN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 5
MNG
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
10 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |