Hong Kong vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
14.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
17.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.6%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
5.5%
1.1%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
0 - 4
HKG
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
YEM
1 - 0
HKG
44%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
1 - 3
BHR
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
2 - 1
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
4 - 2
GUM
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PRK
9 - 2
GUM
92%
7%
1%
|
22 | 78 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 2
MAC
19%
20%
60%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 1
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
1 - 0
MNG
6%
13%
81%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +3 |