Hong Kong vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
10 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
3 - 0
MAC
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
0 - 3
QAT
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAS
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 7
TWN
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
GUM
0 - 2
MAC
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
MNG
2 - 0
GUM
55%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
TJK
16 - 0
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2000 |
IRN
19 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
40 | 87 | 47 | -1 |