Hong Kong vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 5
HKG
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 15
HKG
5%
14%
81%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
6 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
HKG
1 - 7
BRA
9%
20%
72%
|
56 | 98 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
MMR
2 - 2
HKG
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 21
PRK
3%
12%
85%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 2
PRK
5%
15%
80%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
6 - 0
MNG
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 1
PRK
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 0
KWT
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |