Hong Kong vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1989 |
HKG
0 - 0
JPN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1988 |
HKG
0 - 1
KSA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1988 |
HKG
0 - 3
KSA
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
NPL
4 - 2
HKG
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAC
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
IDN
0 - 0
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1986 |
POL
2 - 2
PRK
99%
1%
0%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CHN
2 - 1
PRK
80%
13%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1986 |
PRK
2 - 0
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
MAS
0 - 4
PRK
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |