Hong Kong vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
74%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
3 - 0
HKG
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 91 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
KOR
5 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
2%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BHR
4 - 0
HKG
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
CHN
3 - 0
KOR
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIE
1 - 2
CHN
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 0
SYR
63%
20%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
CHN
2 - 2
JOR
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |